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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15113980100120160180200112165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#13
57.31.9
59.257.4
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
blue by 6.9
64.22.2
63.065.2
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
Second
85
#15
49.01.9
46.344.5
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 6.0
5114
#25
43.02.2
40.042.2
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Third
7054
#12
38.01.9
34.332.5
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
red by 6.6
4004
#40
31.32.2
28.530.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned