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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711590100110120130140150124101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.7
52.052.7
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
red by 11.7
4392
#31
42.20.6
44.543.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Second
5843
#21
33.50.7
34.034.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 0.4
5535
#33
33.90.6
33.032.4
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
3098
#29
26.70.7
22.122.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 4.3
3875
#38
31.00.6
32.331.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed