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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12718905010015025062182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#14
45.64.3
46.442.1
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
blue by 23.9
69.50.8
70.271.0
Auto15.3
Teleop42.2
End9.7
Second
217
#37
38.74.3
46.942.6
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
blue by 26.3
65.00.8
65.065.8
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
Third
6152
#32
31.94.3
35.030.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 15.8
3414
#10
47.70.8
45.145.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed99%Activation oddsEarned