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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215450100200250134138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#9
53.70.7
54.353.6
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
blue by 1.6
2054
#11
55.30.3
52.652.2
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
Second
6081
#16
48.90.7
52.752.0
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
blue by 3.6
52.60.3
55.955.5
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
Third
9215
#36
27.80.7
27.827.1
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 9.1
68
#30
36.90.3
39.539.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned