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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13514880100120160180200220240112135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#23
41.51.1
45.944.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
blue by 22.7
64.20.8
65.264.4
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
Second
4405
#39
41.21.1
46.845.7
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
red by 5.1
2620
#27
36.10.8
35.935.1
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
Third
7790
#24
33.41.1
38.837.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
red by 1.3
1711
#34
32.10.8
35.935.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned