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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11614250100150200141152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
43.91.9
40.242.1
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
blue by 3.8
3414
#10
47.71.5
45.947.4
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
Second
4776
#22
41.21.9
40.242.1
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
blue by 3.3
5436
#28
44.51.5
41.743.2
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
Third
3875
#38
31.01.9
31.733.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
blue by 11.2
4392
#31
42.21.5
43.945.4
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned