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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11418050100150200250119141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#16
48.90.7
52.051.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
blue by 15.7
64.61.3
58.757.4
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
Second
5535
#33
33.90.7
32.431.7
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 19.8
27
#9
53.71.3
53.652.3
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
Third
4004
#40
31.30.7
30.830.0
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 21.2
52.61.3
55.554.2
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned