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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128149050100200250102100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#11
55.31.4
52.250.8
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
blue by 2.0
857
#13
57.32.5
57.454.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
5843
#21
33.51.4
34.833.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 5.2
217
#37
38.72.5
42.640.1
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
Third
7790
#24
33.41.4
37.736.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
blue by 3.5
68
#30
36.92.5
39.236.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned