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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127128100110120140150160121118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.0
47.547.5
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
blue by 7.9
56.70.0
58.758.7
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Second
3656
#23
41.50.0
44.844.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
red by 3.5
7054
#12
38.00.0
32.532.5
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
Third
5612
#35
26.90.0
28.328.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
blue by 0.9
9215
#36
27.80.0
27.127.1
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned