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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12615980100140180200220109146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#28
44.50.9
43.242.3
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
blue by 8.0
52.60.1
54.254.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
Second
4405
#39
41.20.9
45.744.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
blue by 7.8
6081
#16
48.90.1
51.251.3
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
Third
1711
#34
32.10.9
35.134.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
blue by 13.5
5675
#14
45.60.1
42.142.1
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsMissed90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned