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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140167100150200250146148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.4
57.457.8
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
red by 0.4
64.20.3
64.464.1
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
Second
7166
#26
40.20.4
40.741.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
blue by 13.6
53.90.3
54.053.6
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
Third
68
#30
36.90.4
36.737.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
blue by 1.9
217
#37
38.70.3
40.139.8
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned