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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138106050150200119132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#11
55.30.4
50.850.4
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
red by 12.1
3536
#20
43.21.6
38.640.2
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Second
3414
#10
47.70.4
47.447.0
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
red by 13.9
5535
#33
33.91.6
31.733.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
5612
#35
26.90.4
28.327.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
blue by 6.6
5843
#21
33.51.6
33.434.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned