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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134132110115120125130140145150135140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#15
49.00.6
45.145.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
blue by 8.3
857
#13
57.31.1
54.956.0
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
4392
#31
42.20.6
45.446.0
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
blue by 3.4
5675
#14
45.61.1
42.143.2
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Third
2620
#27
36.10.6
35.135.7
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
red by 8.3
9215
#36
27.81.1
27.128.1
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned