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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271170200300400500106113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#39
41.20.8
44.944.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
blue by 4.2
7056
#19
45.30.1
45.145.3
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End9.1
Second
217
#37
38.70.8
39.839.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
blue by 1.5
7166
#26
40.20.1
41.141.3
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
Third
5535
#33
33.90.8
33.332.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 7.1
3098
#29
26.70.1
24.624.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned