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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115550100200250120144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#15
49.00.2
45.745.9
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
blue by 20.5
69.50.2
68.368.5
Auto15.3
Teleop42.2
End9.7
Second
5114
#25
43.00.2
43.543.7
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
red by 1.8
4776
#22
41.20.2
39.139.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
Third
9215
#36
27.80.2
28.128.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 5.7
5843
#21
33.50.2
34.935.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned