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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314650100200138153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#14
45.60.5
43.243.6
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
blue by 9.6
2054
#11
55.30.9
50.451.3
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
Second
5436
#28
44.50.5
42.342.7
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
blue by 9.1
27
#9
53.70.9
52.353.2
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
Third
3656
#23
41.50.5
42.142.6
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
red by 5.4
2620
#27
36.10.9
35.736.6
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned