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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13012250100150200155122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#11
55.32.2
51.353.5
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
red by 10.7
5436
#28
44.50.4
42.743.2
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
Second
85
#15
49.02.2
45.948.1
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 5.1
4779
#17
43.90.4
40.340.7
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
Third
6152
#32
31.92.2
27.329.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 1.9
5535
#33
33.90.4
32.532.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed