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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515650100200111177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.61.2
52.551.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
blue by 4.8
857
#13
57.31.9
55.657.5
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
3656
#23
41.51.2
42.641.4
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
blue by 12.4
53.91.9
52.053.9
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
Third
217
#37
38.71.2
39.037.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
blue by 4.4
3536
#20
43.21.9
41.943.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned