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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431035020013690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.1
55.655.7
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
red by 16.4
7166
#26
40.21.1
41.340.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
Second
68
#30
36.90.1
36.836.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 4.7
1711
#34
32.11.1
32.931.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
Third
2620
#27
36.10.1
36.636.7
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End9.1
red by 9.2
5612
#35
26.91.1
27.526.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed