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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451296080100120160180200115144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#16
48.91.2
49.348.0
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
blue by 15.7
64.61.4
61.062.4
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
Second
4392
#31
42.21.2
44.142.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
red by 8.8
7790
#24
33.41.4
32.033.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
Third
4405
#39
41.21.2
42.441.2
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End7.0
red by 9.8
4004
#40
31.31.4
29.931.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned