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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94152050200136125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
43.92.3
40.743.1
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
blue by 1.7
5675
#14
45.60.7
45.544.8
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
Second
6152
#32
31.92.3
29.631.9
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 13.4
7056
#19
45.30.7
46.045.3
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End9.1
Third
9215
#36
27.82.3
25.427.8
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
blue by 15.2
5114
#25
43.00.7
44.143.4
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned