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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14615050100200250143122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#13
57.30.4
57.557.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
red by 0.6
56.71.2
55.754.5
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Second
52.60.4
51.351.7
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
red by 4.8
3414
#10
47.71.2
49.548.3
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
Third
1711
#34
32.10.4
31.732.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End6.2
blue by 6.6
217
#37
38.71.2
37.736.5
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned66%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed