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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9713705015020096125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#21
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End6.9
blue by 9.8
7220
#18
43.30.1
43.743.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Second
4004
#40
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 10.2
3656
#23
41.50.1
41.441.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
Third
3875
#38
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
blue by 9.2
7166
#26
40.20.1
40.140.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsMissed