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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185158100120140200220240163173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.50.2
70.069.9
Auto15.3
Teleop42.2
End9.7
red by 4.9
64.60.5
63.363.8
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
Second
64.20.2
64.864.6
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
red by 7.6
56.70.5
55.455.9
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Third
3536
#20
43.20.2
43.743.6
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
red by 4.4
217
#37
38.70.5
37.437.9
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7