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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145158100200250161130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.4
51.852.2
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
blue by 1.3
53.90.4
54.353.9
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
Second
6081
#16
48.90.4
48.248.6
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
red by 0.2
48.80.4
49.148.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Third
4776
#22
41.20.4
40.440.8
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
blue by 3.3
5436
#28
44.50.4
44.944.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3