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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164153120140180200146153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.4
65.465.0
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
red by 7.7
857
#13
57.30.2
57.557.7
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
85
#15
49.00.4
49.349.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 1.2
3414
#10
47.70.2
47.948.1
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
Third
5114
#25
43.00.4
43.343.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
blue by 0.3
7220
#18
43.30.2
43.543.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2