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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145163100200250133170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.1
51.951.8
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
blue by 12.0
64.60.2
63.163.3
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
Second
6081
#16
48.90.1
48.348.2
Auto12.5
Teleop27.7
End8.4
blue by 7.8
56.70.2
55.255.4
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Third
4776
#22
41.20.1
40.540.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End9.4
red by 2.5
217
#37
38.70.2
37.237.4
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7