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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481560100200300400172178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#11
55.30.7
54.555.3
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End7.0
red by 1.4
53.90.5
53.854.3
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
Second
5675
#14
45.60.7
44.945.6
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
blue by 3.1
48.80.5
48.649.1
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Third
4779
#17
43.90.7
43.243.9
Auto12.8
Teleop23.7
End7.4
blue by 0.6
5436
#28
44.50.5
44.444.9
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3