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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15714180100120180200220137128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#13
57.30.3
57.857.5
Auto16.0
Teleop32.0
End8.2
red by 3.7
27
#9
53.70.5
54.153.7
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
Second
3414
#10
47.70.3
48.247.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
red by 5.6
4392
#31
42.20.5
42.742.2
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Third
7220
#18
43.30.3
43.843.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.2
End7.2
red by 6.4
68
#30
36.90.5
37.336.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3