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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144965020025015396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.21.6
54.956.5
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 19.2
9227
#15
39.00.0
33.733.7
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
Second
3604
#12
41.71.6
39.140.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 3.7
6569
#28
38.00.0
34.334.3
Auto10.9
Teleop20.6
End6.3
Third
314
#22
38.31.6
35.236.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End9.3
red by 5.1
3667
#36
33.30.0
28.028.0
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed