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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110050150200103127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
57.40.0
49.549.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
red by 15.3
123
#18
42.21.5
38.339.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
Second
4377
#32
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
red by 3.1
9226
#29
35.91.5
32.834.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Third
9204
#38
18.70.0
14.014.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 3.1
6005
#39
21.81.5
23.825.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned