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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313750150200103133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#26
41.10.5
36.135.6
Auto12.2
Teleop20.4
End8.1
blue by 14.5
55.60.2
50.450.6
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
Second
4325
#37
28.00.5
37.536.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
blue by 11.8
573
#23
39.90.2
44.845.1
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
Third
4810
#40
24.60.5
27.526.9
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
blue by 6.4
3096
#33
31.00.2
29.029.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned