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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971725015020025095157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#19
43.90.4
44.043.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
blue by 19.4
63.30.3
61.361.6
Auto17.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Second
3096
#33
31.00.4
29.328.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
blue by 26.5
33
#5
57.40.3
49.649.9
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
Third
4810
#40
24.60.4
26.926.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
blue by 15.3
573
#23
39.90.3
45.145.4
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed98%Activation oddsEarned