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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10116650150200129151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#12
41.71.4
40.742.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
blue by 23.3
64.90.5
62.662.2
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
Second
9226
#29
35.91.4
34.235.6
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
blue by 19.6
55.60.5
52.852.4
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
Third
3667
#36
33.31.4
28.029.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 7.8
5424
#26
41.10.5
35.635.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned