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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115121050100150200250122104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#18
42.20.6
39.840.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
blue by 3.8
2834
#31
45.90.9
37.736.8
Auto13.4
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Second
4216
#21
39.10.6
34.234.7
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Level
4377
#32
39.00.9
39.038.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
Third
3603
#14
34.00.6
34.635.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
red by 6.0
4325
#37
28.00.9
36.936.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed