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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512190100110130140150160170111106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#11
41.80.4
47.547.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
blue by 13.8
55.60.6
50.650.1
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
Second
9227
#15
39.00.4
33.733.3
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
blue by 3.8
9176
#34
42.80.6
38.437.9
Auto12.0
Teleop24.2
End5.8
Third
6637
#35
35.10.4
35.635.2
Auto12.2
Teleop15.8
End6.7
red by 13.3
6005
#39
21.80.6
25.324.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed