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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1388005010015020010199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#10
50.11.4
45.444.0
Auto14.0
Teleop25.3
End9.8
red by 16.1
3603
#14
34.01.1
33.334.4
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
Second
1918
#20
47.41.4
40.939.5
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
red by 19.4
4325
#37
28.01.1
36.437.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Third
314
#22
38.31.4
36.635.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End9.3
red by 19.7
9204
#38
18.71.1
12.914.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned