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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135138100120160180200160111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
57.41.9
47.749.5
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
blue by 7.5
67
#16
64.91.5
62.961.4
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
Second
3572
#11
41.81.9
45.447.3
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
red by 0.7
5424
#26
41.11.5
37.636.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.4
End8.1
Third
4327
#25
37.01.9
33.935.8
Auto10.4
Teleop19.1
End7.7
red by 2.1
201
#24
34.91.5
28.727.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed