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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16611350100150200250156130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.1
61.061.1
Auto17.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 7.6
55.70.1
50.951.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.0
End11.3
Second
5166
#17
59.10.1
55.655.7
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
red by 20.0
4216
#21
39.10.1
34.134.2
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Third
9227
#15
39.00.1
33.633.7
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
red by 5.7
3667
#36
33.30.1
27.928.0
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned