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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11115450100200137121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#23
39.91.2
45.446.6
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
blue by 18.4
58.21.2
57.756.5
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
9226
#29
35.91.2
35.636.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
blue by 10.9
46.91.2
42.441.2
Auto12.9
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Third
201
#24
34.91.2
28.229.4
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
blue by 2.4
7174
#30
37.31.2
38.937.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsMissed