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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123135801001601802002209591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#19
43.91.8
43.741.9
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
blue by 15.2
5166
#17
59.12.6
56.453.8
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
Second
4327
#25
37.01.8
36.935.1
Auto10.4
Teleop19.1
End7.7
blue by 4.7
3604
#12
41.72.6
42.139.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Third
4325
#37
28.01.8
36.034.2
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
red by 3.4
4810
#40
24.62.6
26.624.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed