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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14712650100200128127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.5
62.261.7
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
red by 7.5
33
#5
57.40.3
49.949.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
Second
4377
#32
39.00.5
38.137.6
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
red by 0.7
314
#22
38.30.3
37.337.1
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End9.3
Third
3603
#14
34.00.5
35.134.6
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
blue by 1.1
6637
#35
35.10.3
35.234.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned