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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8714850100200107141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#26
41.10.8
35.135.9
Auto12.2
Teleop20.4
End8.1
blue by 23.8
67
#16
64.90.7
61.261.9
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
Second
3667
#36
33.30.8
29.430.3
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 5.8
4216
#21
39.10.7
34.735.4
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Third
6005
#39
21.80.8
24.825.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
blue by 17.2
9227
#15
39.00.7
33.334.0
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned