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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9218650150200250111168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#22
38.30.5
37.137.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End9.3
blue by 26.6
67
#16
64.90.4
61.962.3
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
Second
9245
#27
35.00.5
35.636.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End5.9
blue by 26.7
61.70.4
64.364.6
Auto13.3
Teleop39.6
End8.1
Third
6005
#39
21.80.5
25.626.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
blue by 25.1
46.90.4
41.241.5
Auto12.9
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned