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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1547905010020025014978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#18
42.20.1
41.341.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
red by 7.2
201
#24
34.90.4
29.429.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
Second
3572
#11
41.80.1
49.249.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
red by 8.5
3667
#36
33.30.4
30.329.9
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Third
573
#23
39.90.1
46.646.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
red by 15.3
4810
#40
24.60.4
24.023.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed