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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140145100120160180200151148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.0
50.751.6
Auto12.4
Teleop31.0
End11.3
blue by 9.2
67
#16
64.90.8
62.363.1
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
Second
55.61.0
51.952.9
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
red by 11.7
5901
#19
43.90.8
41.942.8
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Third
201
#24
34.91.0
29.030.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
blue by 1.0
9226
#29
35.90.8
36.437.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned