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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951505020025099133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#23
39.90.2
46.546.7
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
blue by 19.2
5166
#17
59.11.2
55.454.2
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
Second
6637
#35
35.10.2
33.533.7
Auto12.2
Teleop15.8
End6.7
blue by 6.7
3572
#11
41.81.2
49.147.9
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
Third
9204
#38
18.70.2
15.916.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 9.3
4325
#37
28.01.2
32.931.7
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsMissed