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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401005015020014893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.4
51.953.3
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
red by 16.6
4377
#32
39.00.4
37.737.3
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
Second
3604
#12
41.71.4
38.239.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 3.3
314
#22
38.30.4
37.637.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End9.3
Third
5424
#26
41.11.4
36.237.7
Auto12.2
Teleop20.4
End8.1
red by 16.5
4810
#40
24.60.4
23.623.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned