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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211750100150200250144113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.4
52.954.3
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
red by 13.4
123
#18
42.20.1
41.341.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
Second
9245
#27
35.01.4
36.137.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End5.9
blue by 4.0
9227
#15
39.00.1
34.134.2
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
Third
3603
#14
34.01.4
33.434.8
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
blue by 3.0
4327
#25
37.00.1
36.436.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed