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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12615250100200105140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
57.41.1
52.251.1
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
blue by 5.9
63.30.0
62.762.7
Auto17.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Second
6569
#28
38.01.1
33.332.2
Auto10.9
Teleop20.6
End6.3
blue by 16.0
9312
#13
54.00.0
50.850.9
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End8.1
Third
7174
#30
37.31.1
36.335.2
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
red by 15.5
6005
#39
21.80.0
26.126.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned